You might want to avoid bad decisions.
However, avoiding bad decisions is a poor goal because you only develop judgment over time. So, achieving it would mean making less decisions, taking less chances, and beating yourself when something inevitably goes wrong.
Decreasing experimentation in the long term is a very expensive decision.
Perhaps our goal instead should be to make sure we avoid making the same bad decision twice. This way, we keep the experimentation but ensure we take the time to learn from our experiments.
As the saying goes, good judgment comes from experience. And, experience comes from bad judgment.
So, here’s to occasional bad judgment.