Conviction and evidence

I wrote about conviction and evidence in the Good Energy approach yesterday. It’s worth calling out that this framework of conviction and evidence is applicable in most things that matter in this life.

I think of it every day in my daily work as a product manager. Good products show up when we first have conviction in an idea and pour effort into bringing that conviction to life.

If that conviction is borne out of a deep understanding of the user’s problem and if our follow through involves that magical combination of good decision making/judgment, taste, and systems thinking, it is likely we’ll see evidence backing up that judgment.

If we see evidence, we should invest further. If we don’t, we should stop investing.

The role of good leadership is to build conviction in novel approaches to solving problems early. You do that enough and you reap the benefits that come from leading your domain.

Bad leadership, on the other hand, seeks evidence without taking the time to build conviction in the right things.

Good Energy – from conviction to evidence

I’ve written a lot about “Good Energy” in the past year. When I wrote about the book, I wrote about cleaning up my act and revisiting every aspect of my lifestyle – from diet to movement .

All of this came from conviction in her recommended approach.

Conviction is useful. But the sign of conviction in the right things is when we have evidence.

The first bit of evidence came from a close friend who shared that he’d gone from being pre-diabetic to normal in a matter of 3 months by making these lifestyle changes. That was great to hear and validating.

However, there was one wish I had.

Over the past 15 years, every time I’ve gone in for routine bloodwork, I’ve emerged with a key ratio looking off – the ratio of Triglycerides to HDL or High density Lipoprotein (commonly called good cholesterol).

My ratio has consistently hovered between 3-4. The optimal is 1-1.5 and 2 is considered normal. I’ve had rare moments (after a set of smaller lifestyle changes) when the ratio has been closer to 3. But it’s never sustained and typically hovers around 3.5.

I’ve been off on both of these numbers by quite a bit. The ideal HDL for men is in the 60-80 range (I barely touched 40) and the ideal Triglycerides number is 40-60 (I’ve typically hovered around 130).

Going into this set of lifestyle changes 8 months ago, I hoped I’d see an improvement in these numbers. But, admittedly, it felt like one of those half-hearted hopes where I didn’t have confidence in myself and expected to be disappointed.

I’m pleased to report that my latest numbers show a 63 mg/dL HDL and 43 mg/dL triglycerides. I’ve swung from “at risk” to optimal in one go – a ~6x improvement in that ratio.

4 reflections –

(1) I think the process of building confidence in ourselves is when we know we have the ability to follow through with action. I’ve gained confidence over the years that I’ll be able to follow through on what I say I’ll do. I just didn’t have any strategy to improve these specific metrics. And I’m grateful to Dr Casey Means for the strategy.

(2) Speaking of strategy, this is the biggest gripe I have with Dr Peter Attia’s Outlive. His immediate solution to this ratio being off was to recommend statins. For all his focus on medicine 3.0, it felt like a medicine 2.0 quick fix solution. Dr. Means’ approach of fixing lifestyle first resonated tremendously.

(3) I’ve written about the lifestyle changes I’ve made in a combination of other posts. But I’d like to share a summary in case you find it useful –

  • Sleep 7 hours minimum
  • Start the day with a quick drink of water soaked with a few spices (coriander, cumin, black seeds, carrom seeds, fennel)
  • 30 min workout – 10 mins mobility, 5 mins strength, 15 min run with sprints up 2 hills.
  • Protein shake for breakfast with a scoop each of whey + orgain protein, 5 mg Creatine, mix of leaves – spinach + chard + kale, mix of berries, and a mix of seeds – chia, flaxseed, hemp. And some avocado.
  • Lunch – start w/salad, some protein, veggies, and rice
  • A green tea when I remember a few hours after
  • Dinner – start w/nuts, some protein, veggies, and a small quantity of rice. And end with a fruit if possible.
  • Lots of walking – walking through the day and definitely walking after dinner for at least half an hour. My average step count this year has gone up to ~12000 from ~8000 last year – with little hacks like parking half a mile away from the office.
  • Reduced toxins/chemicals – more natural soaps, detergents, deoderants, and fruits from the farmer’s market.
  • Weekly – twice a week strength training for 45 mins with a trainer, once a week 70 min soccer game

I’m not regimented about all of this. I’ve had to take breaks when traveling and definitely skip Saturdays. I have a sweet tooth – so I’ve binged on plenty of white chocolate and Indian sweets along the way. But I’ve attempted to be consistent more often than not in the past 6 months. I just didn’t know if it would all show up in the results.

(4) That brings me to the final note. I’ve felt better than ever since making these changes. Unless the blood work showed a worse situation, I’d have continued doing these anyway.

But it is always heartening when we keep getting evidence that good results do follow good process.

The colon cancer study

A collection of Canadian researchers published a seminal study following a set of 889 individuals after they underwent chemotherapy for colon cancer.

Over a 3 year period, half the participants received health education materials and half the participants underwent a structured exercise program with a coach. The coach met with patients every few weeks for three years, helping them establish and maintain an exercise regimen including walking, biking, kayaking, skiing, swimming, or running. They aimed for the equivalent of at least three 45- to 60-minute walks each week.

Eight years on, the intervention group saw a 28% reduction in cancer recurrence and 37% fewer deaths (study summary).

One of central tenets of Peter Attia’s book is that exercise is, by a distance, the most effective drug we know for a healthy life.

It is heartening to see randomized controlled trials that push for exercise-based interventions like this – and, of course, wonderful to see the results.

1+1

A few months before I got married, I spoke to a family friend. He’d been around the block and shared a reflection about marriage and careers.

He shared that the effect he’d seen was fascinating as it was binary more often than not.

After marriage, strong performers either became superstars or went through a severe regression in their performance.

In effect, 1+1 was either much greater than 2 or it was..0.

I’ve thought about that reflection over the years – in marriages and in teams.

Strong teams are generally a sum of their parts. The complementary skill sets come together to make them great.

And, in most other cases, you can’t help get the feeling that the team’s performance is less than the sum of its parts.

All in all, a useful rule of thumb. Teams/partnerships either work great… or not.

There’s rarely middle ground.

Removing the emotion to answer the question

I work on the jobs marketplace and the jobseeker experience on LinkedIn.

In a labor market like the one today, there’s definitely a lot of frustration flying around.

There’s no doubt we have a lot of work to do and a responsibility to our users to make things better. And, given my role, I’m at the receiving end of some of that feedback and frustration.

Every once a while, I get thoughtful and considerate feedback. It is so lovely when people do that.

Often, though, they’re worded in a way that is intended to hurt.

I’ve learnt two lessons over time –

(1) Remove the emotion and answer the question/comment. When I first received these notes, I used to feel the emotion surge as I tried to keep my cool. I’ve gotten better at removing the emotion. It isn’t personal and it is sometimes easy to lose that perspective.

I do my best to help outline the challenges (especially with requests that aren’t realistic) and set expectations. And, of course, if it is offensive, I remind myself that I can choose not to respond.

(2) The feedback is a privilege. I would have given a lot a few years ago to get to work on a problem like this. The feedback is just a reminder of the work that lies ahead to make things better.

That again is a reminder to remove the emotion, acknowledge the privilege, and just try to be of help.

It is, of course, a lesson that is relevant in other scenarios as well. It is good to be able to remove the emotion and just answer the question.

I hope to get better at doing so over time.

Cuts, soreness, and pain

When you learn to play the guitar, you know to expect multiple cuts and calluses in your fingers.

Lifting weights, on the other hand, means dealing with soreness.

Public speaking means learning to deal with stage fright.

Pain in the learning process is required to help our bodies and minds adapt to new challenges.

Many say they want to accelerate their learning curve. The real question is if they’re willing to lean into the inevitable pain that comes with that.

Agree or like

If you’re expecting every person you work with to agree with your decisions or to like you along the way, it is highly likely you won’t get much done.

This doesn’t mean you can get away being a jerk for long. There’s a balance – too often though, we get caught up in our desire for affiliation. It is nice to be liked.

But that’s not the job.

The job is about getting the important things done. Ideally in a way that brings the people that matter along for the most part.

That in turn often means choosing to be the kind of person who is respected for sound judgment.

Everything else is gravy in the long run.

Books and measure of success

A decade ago, I made it a point to read 2 books per month. I was curious about many topics and I’m glad I indulged my curiosity in that phase.

In this current phase, I am reading significantly fewer books but I’m spending more time attempting to change my habits based on the books I read.

2025 might just go down as the year when I attempted to change my life based on what I learnt from “Good Energy,” “Built to Move,” and “Outlive.”

If I manage to do that, it’ll go down as a successful year. If I don’t, I’ll plan to read them again and try again in 2026.

Changing our measure of success changes our approach.

Battery indicator

I find myself often wishing for a battery indicator – like the ones on a phone – I can look at for the people around me. Especially for myself.

First, the context. I was tired on two separate occasions recently.

One of these days was with family and I was noticeably withdrawn. An extra hour of sleep would have transformed that morning.

I was even asked – “Everything okay? Tired?” And I said “yes – all okay.” Some combination of ego and lack of self awareness meant that I didn’t admit to my tiredness.

The other day was at work. I was wiped out and every minor disagreement hit me a lot harder. I saw a couple of issues and felt my heart sink. And I ended a perfectly normal day feeling beat down.

In both cases, if there was a simple battery indicator I could have looked at, I would have seen the indicator point to the fact that I’d gone into battery saver mode. I needed a recharge to reset – that recharge is usually just sleep. In rare cases, it comes down to food or other factors.

Low battery states impact everything – our ability to be resilient, to be optimistic, and to keep perspective.

The more awareness we have of them, the better.

Perhaps I should just begin by imagining a battery indicator and keep checking in on the charge level.