Speaking and removing all doubt

Nearly two decades ago, someone I know was reflecting on a discussion where a person spoke up a couple of times with minimal signal.

This friend shared the quote – “Better to be silent and be thought of as a fool than to speak and remove all doubt.”

That idea has stuck with me – perhaps due to its beautiful combination of wit and wisdom. I still think of it every time I’m in a similar situation.

Both when observing others as well as when I’m at risk of doing the same myself.

Nobody knows

Every day, I see or read some fascinating prediction about where the world is heading.

Many of these predictions are based on some fact – the impact of AI on entry level jobs, impact of political uncertainty, etc.

But the range of these is mind boggling. There are many predicting widespread unemployment in the next five years, others who are concerned about AI’s impact on our ability to think, others who believe we’re headed for a major social-economic crisis, a few worried about AI taking over and destroying humanity, others worried about the impact of a changing global order, and so on.

The one thing I remind myself when I see these predictions is – nobody knows.

Or more accurately, I say to myself – nobody fucking knows.

We are dealing with more systemic change all at once than anyone can comprehend. The second and third order effects in a complex system create conditions where changes are happening so fast that it is hard to know what to respond to.

One thing is for certain – there’s no point overreacting to every high confidence prediction.

Nobody knows.

Attitudes to hard work

There tend to be three dominant attitudes to hard work –

(1) Avoid at all costs

(2) Accept and grind

(3) Learned to love it

Here’s the fascinating thing. Neither one of these is universally “good” or “bad.”

For example, sometimes, it is the desire to “avoid at all costs” that can lead to ingenious short cuts. And the flip side of learning to love hard work is that it can feel like hustle porn – where overworking is worshipped.

Sometimes, the same person can have one attitude in one area of their life and another in the rest. That can be endearing or frustrating depending on where you stand.

The key is to first decide what your attitude will be in the areas of your life that matter. And then to surround yourself with people whose attitudes match yours.

HBO Max and lemons

The HBO Max social team has had to hype up a series of questionable rebrands. Now they’re back to where they started 3 years ago.

Rather than complain about the lemons they’ve been handed, they’ve gone out on a self-deprecating humor blitz.

It started with claims of “white smoke” – situational humor.

Then a note about the reactions they expected.

This was hilarious.

Their new headline took the cake.

They transformed a facepalm moment into something unforgettable.

A good reminder to make the best lemonade out of the lemons handed to us.

Seeing the long-term consequences

I was aware of the “don’t eat till you’re full” advice for many years. That awareness never translated to action.

Until I wore a continuous glucose monitor and saw the effect of eating till I’m full – especially at night.

That’s the thing about learning – it usually happens when seeing the long-term consequences of our actions shocks or surprises enough to change our behavior.

So, if we’re having difficulty changing our behavior, it might be worth asking – what is an experience that would help us see or experience the long-term consequences of our current path?

Balance good

“Balance good, karate good. Balance bad, better pack up, go home” | Mr. Miyagi

I watched the original Karate Kid recently and loved a couple of Mr. Miyagi quotes that felt very Yoda-esque.

This one on balance was lovely – just as applicable to Karate as to long-term physical fitness.

Our balance skills pay large long term dividends by preventing injuries. It is why every fitness trainer worth their salt incorporates single leg exercises in their routine.

Balance good, life good.

No exemption from one star reviews

I chuckled when I saw this. Being one of the most beautiful places on the planet doesn’t exempt you from the one star reviews.

My favorite one star review was someone complaining about “too many rocks and trees.” Another one complaining about getting wet near the waterfalls came a close second.

This lesson is easier said than done but worth repeating – don’t let the 1 star reviews get you down.